Congress is about to fund the government through the first two weeks of December, roughly two months before it actually has to. The reason isn't generosity. It's an election. If lawmakers can push the next funding fight past November, they get to campaign this fall without a shutdown threat hanging over anyone's district.

The House already passed its own version of that fix. H.R. 9770, sponsored by Appropriations Chair Tom Cole, passed 220-205 on July 21 and extends funding at current levels through December 4. The Senate is doing something different. Instead of taking up the House bill, it struck the text of an unrelated bill that had already passed the House and gone nowhere since, H.R. 6500, an Africa trade bill called the AGOA Extension Act that had sat untouched on the Senate calendar since February, and substituted its own funding text instead. Senate Appropriations Chair Susan Collins released that text August 2. It runs a week longer than the House version, through December 11, and blocks a contested Office of Management and Budget rule on federal grant reviews that Collins had already publicly opposed. A Senate cloture vote, the procedural vote needed to end debate and move toward final passage, was scheduled for 5:30 p.m. ET on Monday, August 3.

How This Is Supposed to Work

None of this is how the process is written down. The Constitution says money can only leave the Treasury "in Consequence of Appropriations made by Law." Under a 1974 law, Congress is supposed to pass twelve separate appropriations bills, one for each subject area, before the fiscal year starts October 1. Congress has actually done that on time only four times since 1977: FY1977, FY1989, FY1995, and FY1997, and only three of those years needed no stopgap patch at all. Under the current 12-bill structure, it has never happened.

When the bills aren't done by October 1, Congress typically passes a continuing resolution, a stopgap that keeps agencies funded at last year's levels while lawmakers keep negotiating. Missing the deadline doesn't by itself shut anything down. A shutdown happens only when there's an actual gap, when neither the regular bills nor a continuing resolution is in place. At that point, a federal law called the Antideficiency Act requires agencies to stop spending and stop accepting work until Congress acts, so they furlough staff and halt non-essential operations. Continuing resolutions exist specifically to prevent that gap from opening. This year, Congress still hit it three times anyway.

Who Uses This Leverage, and For What

Shutdown fights aren't new, and the record is more mixed than it looks from a distance.

In 1995 and 1996, House Republicans pushed a seven-year path to a balanced budget that slowed Medicare's growth rate and moved Medicaid to state block grants, arguing it would save both programs from insolvency rather than cut them. Clinton refused to sign it, arguing the same balance could be reached without raising Medicare premiums or cutting education and environmental funding. Even Senate Majority Leader Bob Dole broke with his own party's strategy before it ended, pushing to reopen the government over the objections of House Republican leadership.

In 2013, House Republicans tied government funding to defunding the Affordable Care Act, arguing the law would hurt the people it was meant to help. Democrats held that a law already passed and upheld by the Supreme Court shouldn't be relitigated through a funding deadline. The House GOP conference itself split three ways over the strategy, and a bloc of Senate Republicans, including John McCain, publicly called it doomed before it started.

In January 2018, Senate Democrats withheld votes over protections for people brought to the country as children, sometimes called Dreamers, arguing Congress had already committed to act. Republicans called it holding military pay hostage over an unrelated issue. The shutdown collapsed in three days when multiple Senate Democrats up for reelection in states Trump had carried broke with their own leader, Chuck Schumer, and voted with Republicans instead.

In 2018 and 2019, Trump and House Republicans wanted $5.7 billion for a border wall, arguing it would pay for itself in prevented drug trafficking. Democrats wanted border security funded through technology and personnel instead, calling a wall "expensive and ineffective," and refused to negotiate while the government stayed closed. Six Senate Republicans crossed over to reopen the government without wall funding; several Democrats had separately signaled they'd accept some wall money.

That fall shutdown pitted Democrats' argument that Republicans were letting premiums spike for millions of people against Republicans calling the stopgap routine and the holdout political. Eight Senate Democrats eventually crossed over on the vote to reopen the government. A discharge petition forcing a separate vote on the subsidies got its final signature in December, and in January, nine House Republicans broke with their own leadership and voted with Democrats on that forced vote.

This spring's DHS shutdown doesn't sort as cleanly. The formal Democratic ask was officer accountability: body cameras, warrant requirements, restrictions on raids at schools and hospitals, after Border Patrol agents fatally shot two people. But a real, public push from progressive members to defund Immigration and Customs Enforcement outright ran alongside those talks, even though Senate and House Democratic leadership never adopted it as the official position. The final bill left ICE and Border Patrol with no new appropriation at all. Republicans then routed around that by moving a separate allocation, authorized at up to $140 billion, through budget reconciliation instead, a fast-track process that only needs a simple majority in the Senate instead of the 60 votes regular funding bills require, without the accountability conditions Democrats wanted.

What Three Shutdowns Already Cost

The pattern isn't cheap even short of a full shutdown. The Government Accountability Office found the Defense Department has operated under a continuing resolution in 37 of the last 49 fiscal years, and documented real costs: one Joint Base San Antonio contract rose from $579,000 to $1.445 million because of funding delays. The Congressional Budget Office estimated the fall 2025 shutdown alone permanently erased $7 billion to $14 billion in economic output.

Where Middle Ground Exists

A fix already has bipartisan sponsors. Sen. James Lankford, a Republican from Oklahoma, and Sen. Maggie Hassan, a Democrat from New Hampshire, have reintroduced the Prevent Government Shutdowns Act. It would trigger an automatic 14-day continuing resolution at the prior year's funding levels whenever Congress misses the October 1 deadline, and keep triggering a new one every 14 days until all twelve bills pass. While that's in effect, Congress couldn't recess for more than 23 hours at a time, would have to hold daily sessions, and members and political appointees would lose government and campaign-funded travel outside Washington. A House companion, led by Republican Jodey Arrington and Democrat Jimmy Panetta, does the same thing. Sen. Rand Paul has a competing, Republican-only version that would cut spending automatically instead of freezing it: 6% right away, then another 1% every 90 days funding stays lapsed.

The idea has support outside Congress too, from across the ideological spectrum. The Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget has endorsed the Lankford-Hassan model directly. Separate bills would cut off lawmakers' pay during any funding lapse, and the Senate voted in May to suspend its own members' pay during future shutdowns. Scholars at the American Enterprise Institute have endorsed a similar automatic-funding proposal from Sen. Rob Portman since 2018, and the Heritage Foundation has pushed its own version dating back to 2007. On July 23, the House Appropriations Committee held its first hearing on shutdown reform since 2008, with Lankford and former Office of Management and Budget Director Shalanda Young both testifying.

None of these bills has cleared committee. Two have matching Republican and Democratic sponsors in both chambers, and budget groups spanning the ideological spectrum, from the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget to the Heritage Foundation, have backed some version of the idea. What none of them has is a floor vote.

What Happens Next

Senate passage does not make this law by itself. The Senate's bill and the House's H.R. 9770 are different texts, a week apart on their end dates and split on the OMB rule, and the House would have to agree to whatever the Senate sends back before either version reaches the president. The House left Washington after passing its own bill on July 21 and isn't scheduled back until August 31, for five legislative days before it recesses again. Sen. Rick Scott has said the two chambers won't even be in Washington at the same time again until September 14.

This isn't hypothetical. In March, six weeks into the DHS shutdown, the Senate passed its own funding bill. Speaker Mike Johnson rejected it outright, called it "a joke," and pushed a competing House version instead. That standoff dragged the DHS shutdown out for another five weeks. No one in House leadership has said publicly how they'll handle a Senate bill that doesn't match H.R. 9770 this time.

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